Towards a World Integrated and Socio-economically Balanced European Economic Development Scenario
POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS
Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism for resilient and sustainable EU value chains?
Since 2008, the EU’s carbon footprint has decreased by 21%, but offshoring continued to result in the growth of emissions by 6%. Indirect emissions were the main contributor to the changes. This underlines the need for CBAM to expand its coverage to intermediates, as well as final goods, which other research highlights is a long standing request from some EU industries.
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Since 2008, the EU’s carbon footprint has decreased by 21%, but offshoring continued to result in the growth of emissions by 6%. Indirect emissions were the main contributor to the changes. This underlines the need for CBAM to expand its coverage to intermediates, as well as final goods, which other research highlights is a long standing request from some EU industries.
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Economic Security Strategy calls for Regional Policies
While Europe certainly needs a New Normal trade policy to restore a level playing field in international trade, there are questions about the costs of this shift and whether these costs will affect regions differently. TWIN SEEDS provides answers to these questions, through the simulation of GDP growth rates at NUTS2 level for all EU member countries (+ UK) under the assumptions of this new trade policy.
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While Europe certainly needs a New Normal trade policy to restore a level playing field in international trade, there are questions about the costs of this shift and whether these costs will affect regions differently. TWIN SEEDS provides answers to these questions, through the simulation of GDP growth rates at NUTS2 level for all EU member countries (+ UK) under the assumptions of this new trade policy.
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GVCs reconfigurations call for place-based industrial policies
The crucial question is whether reshoring can relaunch employment growth, and if so, whether this is the case across Europe. TWIN SEEDS provides answers to these questions, by studying the capacity of backshoring to relaunch manufacturing employment and, in particular, its ability to renew industrial capacity in traditionally manufacturing regions.
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The crucial question is whether reshoring can relaunch employment growth, and if so, whether this is the case across Europe. TWIN SEEDS provides answers to these questions, by studying the capacity of backshoring to relaunch manufacturing employment and, in particular, its ability to renew industrial capacity in traditionally manufacturing regions.
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International trade under attack: Policies to better defend the EU from a tariff war
The TWIN SEEDS project addressed this issue by forecasting what happens to welfare of European citizens in a trade war and how the EU could best riposte. Researchers modelled a retaliatory escalation of a tariff war between the US and the EU after the mid-April 2025 “Liberation Day”, where the US administration announced an additional 20 percentage point tariff rate on imports from the EU to the US.
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The TWIN SEEDS project addressed this issue by forecasting what happens to welfare of European citizens in a trade war and how the EU could best riposte. Researchers modelled a retaliatory escalation of a tariff war between the US and the EU after the mid-April 2025 “Liberation Day”, where the US administration announced an additional 20 percentage point tariff rate on imports from the EU to the US.
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IN THE PRESS
February 18, 2025
TWIN SEEDS research featured on The Conversation
January 16, 2025
Twin Seeds on the radio (RFI and CMM)
April 24, 2024
Twin Seeds’ Louise Curran published in Le Monde on CSDDD
OUR OBJECTIVES
NEWS & EVENTS
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